Should the Bruins Re-Sign Victor Arvidsson? | Ep. 144
Liner notes
🎙️ On this episode of Bruins Tape to Tape, we take an in-depth look at Victor Arvidsson's potential return to the Boston Bruins. From his role in secondary scoring to his speed and transition game, we discuss how Arvidsson fits into the Bruins’ plans.We also explore organizational identity, contract questions, injury concerns, and roster strategy, plus the latest Boston hockey news and player analysis.
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Speaker 1: Can you start a podcast with me please? I need
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Speaker 1: bocking to say, today, here's a chance pop right down
Speaker 1: with goalie Scars. Oh my one. A move by the
Speaker 1: rookie to on.
Speaker 2: One plaster not moving in shoe it on his own
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Speaker 1: Wait at home right away corner pastersta.
Speaker 3: What is that for?
Speaker 2: Moston?
Speaker 1: Welcome in everyone to another episode of Bruins Tape to tape.
Speaker 1: I will be your host today. I am Maria from Watertown.
Speaker 1: Before I introduce my lovely co host, I just want
Speaker 1: to give you a little bit of background on what
Speaker 1: we're doing this summer. We're continuing our series of revisiting
Speaker 1: the Boston Rulins roster in terms of who may stay,
Speaker 1: who may go, those we might want to keep, what
Speaker 1: our projections might have been early on in the season
Speaker 1: for some of the roster players and where things ended
Speaker 1: up today. But this episode, our profile will be on
Speaker 1: Victor Ardwardson. So with that being said, welcome in, my
Speaker 1: friend Caroline. How are you today? Good?
Speaker 4: How are you boo? Excellent?
Speaker 2: I'm excited to come back to Victor Irvinson because he
Speaker 2: was one that I think we were really excited about
Speaker 2: and we didn't really know a ton of and I think.
Speaker 4: I'm pretty happy with how that one turned out.
Speaker 1: I think we are both going to be patting ourselves
Speaker 1: on the back to some degree because we did a
Speaker 1: profile on Victor Arberdson back in August of twenty twenty five,
Speaker 1: and again we didn't know a whole lot about him.
Speaker 1: We knew of him, but because he predominantly played the
Speaker 1: majority of his career with the Nashville Predators and then
Speaker 1: spent a little bit of time with the Edmonton Oilers,
Speaker 1: we didn't get to see a lot of arvidsim I'm
Speaker 1: going to let you be the leadoff hitter with regard
Speaker 1: to what we said then and where we are now
Speaker 1: with Victor.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love this pickup.
Speaker 2: So as a brief overview, we got him technically as
Speaker 2: a trade, although it really felt like a free agency
Speaker 2: signing because I believe it even was.
Speaker 4: Announced in the morning of July first, before free agency
Speaker 4: opened up at noon that day.
Speaker 2: Like you said, this is a player who has spent
Speaker 2: if not all, majority of his career out West. He
Speaker 2: also had a stint in LA and that was one
Speaker 2: of the things that we.
Speaker 4: Hadn't forgought about.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was one of the things that we had
Speaker 2: discussed about his ability to fit in with whatever Marco
Speaker 2: Sturm's system was going to look like, because they had
Speaker 2: that personal connection from both of them being in LA
Speaker 2: At the same time, it certainly felt like Arvidson wanted
Speaker 2: out of Edmonton and Edmonton was in a we need
Speaker 2: to shed some cap space situation, and so it worked
Speaker 2: out for both of them because Arvidson had to sign.
Speaker 4: Off on leaving and where he would go, and he
Speaker 4: chose Boston.
Speaker 2: So another reason why it felt a little bit like
Speaker 2: a free agency signing, not just because of the time,
Speaker 2: and he came.
Speaker 4: In fairly cheap.
Speaker 2: He had a two year contract for four million for
Speaker 2: each year in Edmonton. And of course then the second
Speaker 2: year I was in Boston and there was a trade
Speaker 2: the Bruins turned over a twenty twenty seven defierent. I
Speaker 2: don't know what the value of that pick is, but
Speaker 2: I think Lewin's made out the Bruins. I think we're
Speaker 2: pretty fine with doing that because that was certainly a
Speaker 2: cap sheds situation for Edmonton, and I think the only
Speaker 2: potential downside that we could even assume with Victor Arbinson
Speaker 2: coming in was.
Speaker 4: A little bit his age. He's thirty three, and so
Speaker 4: for a forward, you might.
Speaker 2: Start to see a little bit of slippage in terms
Speaker 2: of speed and agility and recovery. And that piece was
Speaker 2: the biggest question mark, which was is he going to
Speaker 2: be healthy. He had some back issues in the past,
Speaker 2: and he's had he's missed some time in the past,
Speaker 2: and so that was really the only question mark.
Speaker 4: On the flip side, he.
Speaker 1: Hasn't played legitimately close to a full season since twenty sixteen.
Speaker 1: Twenty seventeen with Nashville, he played eighty games and then
Speaker 1: it's been a slow kind of missing games since then.
Speaker 1: Even with the Bruins this season, but it was the
Speaker 1: most that he's played in a while.
Speaker 2: In twenty twenty three, that was the year he only
Speaker 2: played eighteen That was the significant surgery year. So he
Speaker 2: and he was there for three seasons and only one
Speaker 2: season with Edmonton. I assume that they wanted to bring
Speaker 2: him in for all the same reasons that I think
Speaker 2: anyone would want to bring someone like him in. He's
Speaker 2: I think he's a little bit of a dark horse,
Speaker 2: and I think that's also how we perceived him coming
Speaker 2: in and having spent an entire season watching him, I
Speaker 2: would even still call him a dark horse, especially compared
Speaker 2: to other members of the Boston Bruins. But he turned
Speaker 2: out to be a very reliable player and someone that
Speaker 2: you could expect to be clutched in a lot of
Speaker 2: really important situations. Not just the fact that he was
Speaker 2: able to be a part of a line that was
Speaker 2: almost unchanged all season because of just how well they
Speaker 2: worked together, and that being the line that was centered
Speaker 2: by Pablo Zaka, and then he shared a wing position
Speaker 2: with Casey Middlestaff now and that line. Let me just
Speaker 2: let us just add because this is very important to note.
Speaker 2: At one point during the Redgular season that Trio was
Speaker 2: probably the Bran. They were the Brulin's best lie but
Speaker 2: they were one of the best lines in hockey.
Speaker 4: They were at a pretty good club.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And he one of the other things that I
Speaker 2: really enjoyed about him, And I will say, I don't
Speaker 2: know if we actually touched on this. Besides his speed,
Speaker 2: he's got an excellent skating ability and his ability to
Speaker 2: enter the zone. A pretty reasonable shooting percentage nine point
Speaker 2: three is what he actually ended up with at the
Speaker 2: end of this season, and the percent of shots on
Speaker 2: net was almost sixty four percent, so he was certainly
Speaker 2: not afraid to take shots. His predicted shooting talent is
Speaker 2: above average for the season, and I think what should
Speaker 2: not be shocking whatsoever. One of the newer metrics that
Speaker 2: we've been discussing as of late and will continue to discuss,
Speaker 2: because I think this is really important when we're considering
Speaker 2: the trades are going to be coming, and free agency
Speaker 2: is going to be coming, and who's going to be
Speaker 2: leaving and who's going to be coming in considering can
Speaker 2: you get someone better than what you currently have? Is
Speaker 2: the goals above replacement and the wins above replacement and
Speaker 2: the standings points above replacement. So how much does this
Speaker 2: player contribute to the team with goals to wins and
Speaker 2: points in the standings and should be no surprise whatsoever.
Speaker 2: Who is number one pretty much across the board David
Speaker 2: Pasternat Obviously he's the most talented player on the team,
Speaker 2: but number two for goals above replacement, Victor Arvidson. He
Speaker 2: had a tremendous year. He had an incredible impact, even
Speaker 2: though he didn't play.
Speaker 4: Eighty two games.
Speaker 2: His ability to be impactful in the time that he
Speaker 2: was on ice was significant, and I really am wondering
Speaker 2: what is going to happen with him and his contract
Speaker 2: because I'm not sure what else the front office is
Speaker 2: actually looking for and what they want now. Are they
Speaker 2: hoping that they can can get someone who is maybe
Speaker 2: statistically more like him but for less or who is younger,
Speaker 2: who could they can have for a lot longer. But
Speaker 2: I will say that we have not seen a consistent
Speaker 2: veteran presence on this.
Speaker 4: Team in years.
Speaker 2: We've talked about the last five seasons as being a
Speaker 2: little bit more chaotic, more volatile, because there hasn't been
Speaker 2: that steady Eddy presence that we saw for the previous
Speaker 2: fifteen seasons. We've seen a variety of players come in
Speaker 2: to serve that role, but they've never stuck around for
Speaker 2: more than two seasons because they do tend to be
Speaker 2: older players. These are the guys have seen everything. Arvidstin's
Speaker 2: been to the Stanley Cup Final, he was with Edmonton
Speaker 2: when they lost the second time to the Panthers. So
Speaker 2: I don't really know what they're thinking in terms of
Speaker 2: contract extensions or whatnot. But and as we get closer
Speaker 2: and closer a worry that they're going to have him walk.
Speaker 2: He's a high energy, transition driving middle six winger. He
Speaker 2: brings a lot of pace, which Boston does not have
Speaker 2: much of, good for checking pressure, a ton of shot generation,
Speaker 2: offensive zone movement, and chaos. That's something that we need.
Speaker 2: But he's not he's not a playmaker per se.
Speaker 1: He's not flashy. But he does his job. He does
Speaker 1: his job, he works hard, he's responsible with the puck.
Speaker 1: He's got good speed, he's got good hands, he has,
Speaker 1: as you stated, a shoot first mentality, which is was
Speaker 1: sorely needed by this sorely needed by this team. We're
Speaker 1: not going to do any revisionist history because it's already
Speaker 1: hot enough in my office today. I don't want to
Speaker 1: get myself all worked up. But in sixty nine games,
Speaker 1: if you had told me that, in just even playing
Speaker 1: sixty nine games, Victor dwitzten would have contributed twenty five
Speaker 1: goals and twenty nine assists. Eve been playing a full season.
Speaker 1: So this player definitely has values. Now the pros and
Speaker 1: cons of that is another team might see that value
Speaker 1: as well, and that could translate into a bigger payday
Speaker 1: for Victor Arvidson. And not a payday that the Ruins
Speaker 1: can ill afford to fall into. Perhaps I would like
Speaker 1: him not to be a casualty of a roster that
Speaker 1: has limited financial flexibility right now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's again, it's what is his ask from his camp.
Speaker 2: I'm sure that money and term are obviously the biggest
Speaker 2: sticking points, because that's basically all these contracts are four
Speaker 2: million dollars. And if you think about who else is
Speaker 2: out there as a forward, you've got someone like Charlie Coyle,
Speaker 2: who again this is a pro Charlie Coyle podcast. However,
Speaker 2: the Columbus Blue Jackets just offered him and absolutely astonished
Speaker 2: extension for someone who is mostly suited for the third line,
Speaker 2: can perform well second line. So again, a middle six.
Speaker 1: Reminds you of listeners of Charlie's deal, because I want
Speaker 1: to cut out some subtle differences.
Speaker 2: It's a six year, six million dollar AAV contract. And
Speaker 2: look and Charlie's how old and Charlie is basically the same.
Speaker 2: He's thirty four years old and Victor Arvidson is currently
Speaker 2: he just turned thirty three, so they're the same age. Now, granted,
Speaker 2: there might be listeners who may say but Charlie is
Speaker 2: a center and Arvidson is a wing, all right, but
Speaker 2: we're still talking about a middle six player with different Yeah,
Speaker 2: they have different skill sets.
Speaker 1: All the players have skill sets. Charlie has longevity, and
Speaker 1: when I say longevity, he is a workhorse. He very
Speaker 1: rarely misses for any significant period of time. And he
Speaker 1: has also established himself as a leader. He was a
Speaker 1: leader on that Columbus Blue Jackets team. I think I
Speaker 1: believe that he exhibited leadership qualities while he was here
Speaker 1: in Boston. He never was rewarded for that with being
Speaker 1: provided with an a and I don't even know how
Speaker 1: often he got an alternating game that someone was out,
Speaker 1: which sometimes I found a little I don't know, kind
Speaker 1: of left a little sour taste in my mouth on occasion.
Speaker 1: But that's where I see the differences in those players.
Speaker 1: Is that Charlie, Charlie's going to be there the game
Speaker 1: after game. Now where Victor he's got this history. Now
Speaker 1: he's going to miss ten fifteen, likely ten to fifteen
Speaker 1: games a year, if not more than that. You could
Speaker 1: maybe work that into the equation or a reasonable contract
Speaker 1: with reasonable term. What I don't want to see the
Speaker 1: Bruins do is take a thirty three year old forward
Speaker 1: and give him six or seven years.
Speaker 4: That's crazy. You can't and I don't think that they would.
Speaker 3: But there are some crazy contracts up, as we have
Speaker 3: discussed in previous episodes already, namely the various limp Holme
Speaker 3: contracts that will put me at.
Speaker 4: Mid mid middle late thirties.
Speaker 1: Honestly, if I had a choice in this situation, if
Speaker 1: both Elias lind Home and I know Elias is a
Speaker 1: center and Victor is not a center, but if I
Speaker 1: had to pick and both players were in the same situation, sorry,
Speaker 1: I'm going to make Victor Arvidson a priority over Elias Lundvill.
Speaker 1: That's just how I feel about what those players have
Speaker 1: brought to this roster.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and for Victor Arvidson, who does this team want
Speaker 2: to be because it's not just what veteran presence is
Speaker 2: going to be there. That's going to be a constant
Speaker 2: or a consistent voice in the room to assist the
Speaker 2: leadership corps because no matter who ends up as captain,
Speaker 2: the leadership corps is still younger. And although Pasternak is
Speaker 2: turning thirty, but what are they going to try and prioritize.
Speaker 4: Is it going to be that.
Speaker 2: Defensive structure they're gonna aim to have those shut down
Speaker 2: games where that's very minimal scoring, or are they going
Speaker 2: to start to try and invest in more goal scorers.
Speaker 2: Because if that's the case, then there has to be
Speaker 2: a very good reason why they would not re sign
Speaker 2: Victor Arbitson because he not only like we said, his
Speaker 2: shooting percentage is very high with that shot first mentality,
Speaker 2: he absolutely performed in a way in regards to the
Speaker 2: number of goals that he scored and his expected goals.
Speaker 2: The guy is a sniper. He was one of the
Speaker 2: top goal scorers. He clearly makes a measurable and meaningful
Speaker 2: impact on the team's ability to score goals. Listen, what
Speaker 2: have we been crying about and whinding about for years years?
Speaker 2: Lack of secondary scoring. Lack of secondary scoring.
Speaker 1: Now, it did dry up in the playoffs at scoring
Speaker 1: dried up in the series against Buffalo. If to me,
Speaker 1: it was somewhat, I don't want to say significant, but problematic.
Speaker 1: When Victor Arbuston went down with his injury too, I
Speaker 1: think that had an impact on what the Bruins were
Speaker 1: or weren't able to do against the Sabers and his
Speaker 1: impact with the wins above replacement. He has a two
Speaker 1: point one wins above replacement and four standing points, which
Speaker 1: means it's effectively the same thing that he If you
Speaker 1: were to bring in some other average player or replacement player,
Speaker 1: he was contributing and making two more wins happen than
Speaker 1: you would expect under other circumstances. That's four more points.
Speaker 2: And in an Atlantic division that is arguably the best,
Speaker 2: most competitive division in the entire league, every single stinking
Speaker 2: point matters, every goal matters. And so what is the
Speaker 2: alternative I don't know, but his overall impact on the
Speaker 2: game elevated. I think the product on the ice when
Speaker 2: it comes to the Boston Bruins, because it's either been
Speaker 2: for the last couple of years flat or a bit
Speaker 2: of a circus in not a good way. And so
Speaker 2: he brought in a level of play, a quality of
Speaker 2: play where you saw very positive territorial play, a lot
Speaker 2: of offensive driving value that he brought to the table.
Speaker 4: And I really hope that we don't.
Speaker 1: Lose this guy. No, yeah, yes, I agree with you.
Speaker 1: I would like them to keep him. I see more
Speaker 1: upside than downside, other than the injury factor with him.
Speaker 1: I guess what you can say about him is that
Speaker 1: at least it's not the same injury over and over again.
Speaker 1: I don't know if that's good or a bad thing.
Speaker 1: Whereas with Elias Slntolme, all we keep hearing about even
Speaker 1: from the day, even before he even got here, we
Speaker 1: keep hearing about this back injury that keeps hindering his
Speaker 1: play or his ability to play up to the level
Speaker 1: that we were expecting him to play.
Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly.
Speaker 1: And it sounds like I'm going at Elia slung Woman.
Speaker 1: Maybe I am a little bit because even when he
Speaker 1: wasn't or we didn't hear about the back injury, there
Speaker 1: were stretches where he was invisible. And I don't see
Speaker 1: that in Victor Arditz. I think we were excited about
Speaker 1: what this guy could bring to the table. Yes, and
Speaker 1: he to me, he proved himself worthy, or he has
Speaker 1: proven himself worthy of getting another contract from the Bruins
Speaker 1: at a reasonable price. Now he's got a factor in
Speaker 1: as well. Right, he's thirty three years old. He has
Speaker 1: a difficult time playing a full season if he likes
Speaker 1: it well enough here in Boston, and by all accounts,
Speaker 1: it sounds like he does, and he did. Let's meet
Speaker 1: in the middle here and make a deal.
Speaker 2: Agreed, agreed, So I would like to certainly see him
Speaker 2: come back. If not, then the Bruins are going to
Speaker 2: have to try and find somebody who can drive the
Speaker 2: puck the same way.
Speaker 1: Who is going to now another hole and you're already
Speaker 1: fulfilled roster, right? Who else can Boston bring in then?
Speaker 2: Who has the same level of pace that for checking, pressure, transition, offense,
Speaker 2: possession driving someone who's strung on the puck. We've got
Speaker 2: a number of players on the Bruins team that they
Speaker 2: can get the puck, but they can't keep the puck
Speaker 2: because they just are strong.
Speaker 1: If you're Audredson and his agency, you're obviously going to
Speaker 1: use that to your advantage. Right, this might be his
Speaker 1: last contract. Let's face fast, right it could be. With
Speaker 1: that being said, you want to make it a good
Speaker 1: payday for yourself before you sail off into the sunset exactly.
Speaker 4: So a plus to Victor Arvidson this year.
Speaker 1: No, it's fun in my see, I'm a heart a
Speaker 1: great no, because he didn't get a full season. I
Speaker 1: would give him an a plus or I guess, but
Speaker 1: I'm like a minus B plus, A minus B plus.
Speaker 2: For me, the reason why I'm giving him such a
Speaker 2: high rating is because of just how efficient he was
Speaker 2: when he was there.
Speaker 1: I'm just like, it's hard for me to give anybody
Speaker 1: on the Ruins roster an A plus. I just think
Speaker 1: that is like a standard of the level of performance
Speaker 1: is through the room, right, but also.
Speaker 2: Knowing they knew all of that going into the season,
Speaker 2: and I think if you look at him from the
Speaker 2: lens of we know he's injury prone, that it is
Speaker 2: a possibility. But he made a significant impact while he
Speaker 2: was there. And I think if for what I hesitate
Speaker 2: to think, for as stupid as we think the frontal
Speaker 2: is most of the time, you know that he's going
Speaker 2: to be likely injury prone, there has to be a plan.
Speaker 2: There has to be something to manage that. So those
Speaker 2: things consider a plus.
Speaker 1: Trade.
Speaker 2: Let's see a reasonably good signing who or at least
Speaker 2: someone who can do what.
Speaker 4: He that's valid the trade itself.
Speaker 1: The grade on the trade, Yes, I will grant you
Speaker 1: that that is definitely an A plus because you've got
Speaker 1: a very serviceable, steady, reliable and when I say reliable,
Speaker 1: when he's on the ice, he's reliable, you know what
Speaker 1: trying to get, you know what you're going to get
Speaker 1: for a draft pick that would likely may not amount
Speaker 1: to anything. And we know, given the way, honestly, given
Speaker 1: the way that the Bruins staff assesses young talent, we
Speaker 1: could have given away a diamond in the rock because
Speaker 1: they're too numb to see one when they're scouted.
Speaker 2: So yeah, and I would argue actually that Arvidson probably
Speaker 2: even overperformed a little bit, or at least maybe not.
Speaker 2: I certainly didn't expect the amount of goal scoring, but
Speaker 2: I have to imagine the scouts knew what he's doing.
Speaker 1: No, but that was a nice find by Marco Stern
Speaker 1: to put that group together, and Pavel Zaka certainly mows
Speaker 1: definitely benefited from that. Let's not forget the PAP two.
Speaker 1: It sounds like, from what's already percolating in the rumor
Speaker 1: mil that the Bruins are making Populzaka a priority in
Speaker 1: terms of extending him, and what that contract may be
Speaker 1: could have an impact on what you do with Arkidson.
Speaker 4: Could it? Certainly could.
Speaker 2: You've also got still one more year of Keithy Middlestaff.
Speaker 2: His contract is a five point seven to five cap hit.
Speaker 4: That's It's not a cheap line by any stretch.
Speaker 2: No, no, but if you think about it, the number
Speaker 2: of points that line scored certainly exceeded what we were
Speaker 2: saying was a requirement from the second line.
Speaker 1: By that line basically got the goaltending, and that line
Speaker 1: basically got them into the playoffs the second half of
Speaker 1: the season. Late, I would say, late.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And Zaka he's eligible for a contract extension in
Speaker 2: July at four to seven. I think you're very correct
Speaker 2: in your assumption that if they see him as staying
Speaker 2: part of the Boston Bruins for another stretch of time.
Speaker 1: He's It sounds like when you read between the lines
Speaker 1: listening to Neelie and Sweeney, that they want Pavel Zaka
Speaker 1: to be a part of this rebuild and this kind
Speaker 1: of core nucleus that you're going to work around.
Speaker 2: Yep, yeah, so we shall see. It's also entirely possible.
Speaker 2: Then ultimately what ends up happening is that there's just
Speaker 2: no room. But I hope that's not the case. But
Speaker 2: I definitely want to see more players like him come
Speaker 2: into this lesson's orbit. I think we should preface that
Speaker 2: first by saying what I want them. What I want
Speaker 2: to see first is have a clear concise definition of
Speaker 2: what kind of team you want to be. The going
Speaker 2: back and forth and going back and forth from one
Speaker 2: extreme to another. Let's cut the shit now and decide
Speaker 2: what you want to be as an organization and how
Speaker 2: you want to play and define it and get players
Speaker 2: for the most part that play within that system and structure.
Speaker 2: But we'll see if that comes to fruition. So I
Speaker 2: think all in all, I think we're both in agreement
Speaker 2: that Victor Arvidson was a success on the Gruins. We
Speaker 2: would like to see him return in a Bruins uniform
Speaker 2: for a reasonable price and a reasonable term. Yes, yep,
Speaker 2: absolutely so, thank you for listening, folks. We're going to
Speaker 2: continue with these brief little player profiles as the off
Speaker 2: season builds up to free agency. In the meantime, please
Speaker 2: feel free to give us a rating or our review.
Speaker 2: You can find us on our social medias. You can
Speaker 2: also find us on our substack at Tape to Tape
Speaker 2: mk dot substack dot com and our other social media
Speaker 2: at Tape to Tape and closing any closing thoughts, my
Speaker 2: friend go bes go Bruins, still b
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